This 2022 dynasty fantasy football transaction value chart looks different from the other trade charts you are used to seeing. Most other analysts take their dynasty leaderboard, apply random numbers to each player in order of rank, and call it the day.
I tried to make the context chart more useful by providing context. You will find explanations of each column at the bottom of the page.
All values are based on a 12-team Superflex with too many 10 starters and full PPR scoring without TE surcharge. Click the links below to see the values for the other positions.
QB | RB | WR | TE
Level of trade value
This column gives the approximate market value of each player as initial capital. Players and selections can be combined to create fair bids. For example, a player with three first-round selections would be roughly equivalent to a player worth two first-round selections, plus a second player worth one first-round selection.
This column contains a ranking of my dynasty by position. I recommend focusing more on the trade value level than the rank column. Players of the same level are very similar, and I would usually like to trade the players at the top of the rank for a player with a lower rank in the same rank if I get the draw options or other assets higher. The market value is taken into account when compiling the ranking.
Buy / Sell
I would like to target players to transactions marked “Strong Buy” or “Buy” if you can acquire them at market value. If you get market value in return, I’d like to replace players labeled “Strong Sales” or “Sell.” Ranks and level values take into account the market value, so I believe that players with the “Buy” label will either bring more fantasy points than their market value indicates or increase their market value in the future. The opposite is true for players with the “For Sale” label.
For example, Joe Burrow is high in market value, despite earning only 19.0 fantasy points per game last season. Deshaun Watson earns an average of 22.3 fantasy points per game over the course of his career. Despite high risk with Watson, I believe he will eventually become a better fantasy producer. However, if I chose between Watson and Burrow today, I would still take Burrow because its market value is much higher than Watson’s. I would later exchange Burrow for just Watson and other assets or another QB. As a result, Burrow is listed as a “strong seller” and Watson a “buy”, but Burrow is higher than Watson.
This column is based on all 2021 games, including NFL playoffs. When calculating these values, I removed all games where the player was injured and left the game early, still losing a significant portion of my usual snaps. In addition, the pointless games of week 18 were removed for some players who saw a drastically reduced proportion of snaps.
For example, Christian McCaffreyThe numbers increased significantly as he removed the early departed games. I think it makes more sense to have a picture of how good a player is when playing and to consider the risk of injury separately. The boys like it Saquon Barkley and Antonio Gibson who played injured last year were not adjusted unless they left a particular game early with an injury.
This column contains data for the same games with all the same injury corrections as the PPG column.
XFP calculates the value of each target and rush test based on the end zone distance and air yards. These attributes of historical data correlate strongly with actual fantasy points (PPR score).
To learn more about expected fantasy points and to use our XFP data tool, click the link below:
RSJ XFP TOOL: EDGES, TARGETS AND AIR FLOWS FOR EVERY PLAYER
Distribution of stocks
|Individual talent||/ 30|
|Surrounding talent||/ 15|
|Coaching plan||/ 15|
|In reverse||/ 5|
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