Whether it’s a free agency, transactions, or a draft, it’s been a pretty eventful season for a wide range of recipients. The two biggest movements were Tyreek Hill’s deals from Kansas City to Miami and Davante Adams’s Green Bay to Las Vegas. These two deals probably affected the imagination of Hill and Adams, as well as their new teammates.
Of course, they also left a big gap in the position of their previous teams. If you look at this season’s Chiefs and Packers’ best wide receiver options, you’ll see it’s a tough handicap race, but understanding the situations will help you make the best decisions during the draw.
Also, be sure to check out each player’s latest statistical prediction.
What is available: Over the past four seasons, 28% of Green Bay’s targets went to Adams, more than twice his closest teammate Marquez Valdes-Scantling (11%), who also left during the break. Adams met 30% of the goals in 2021 (10.6 per game) and MVS scored 10% (5.0). If you add a co-pilot Equanimeous St. Brown (3%) is available for 42% of the team’s overall targets and 66% of the wide-ranging targets.
Allen Lazard: Lazard is the best choice in terms of goals, receptions, yards, touchdowns and fantasy points since reaching the top of his career last season. Nevertheless, the 2018 draft free agent has been around for some time and has not yet produced the top 40 fantasy campaigns. Lazard is a good contribution to the opening of the season as Aaron Rodgers’ top goal, and the 6-foot receiver is already busy near the goal line (12 final zone goals in 2021).
Christian Watson: Packers chose Watson’s April draft with 34th choice. He may need time to progress after playing university ball in FCS North Dakota, but he is 4.36 on a 6: 4 wheel and is clearly in very good shape. Watson’s inexperience makes him a wild card, but if it’s a real deal, it’s huge.
Sammy Watkins: Watkins was inexplicably Green Bay’s only veteran addition during the off-season. The 29-year-old is ending one of the worst seasons of his career and will continue to struggle for endurance (six of the last seven seasons have several missed games). Watkins has not been in the top 40 fantasy performers since 2015, despite working in high-scoring Rams, Chiefs and Ravens attacks. It’s hard to imagine that changing in his ninth season.
Randall Cobb: Rodgers chose the Cobb list last season, but it just didn’t lead to much production. Cobb was targeted only 39 times and held at the 28-375-5 reception line. Like Watkins (and to a lesser extent Lazard), Cobb has had endurance problems since he last played all season 2015. He could very well establish himself as Packers’ main slot machine, but will soon be 32 years old. -Old ceiling is extremely low.
Amari Rodgers: The second “A. Rodgers” was a surprise Day 2 draw selection last season and played just 99 innings as a newcomer with 12 games. The short-term role of Clemson’s product (4.8 aDOT as a newcomer) may limit its ceiling a bit, but it can also help as a hurry. There has been no talk of Rodgers this season, but we must always be on the lookout for players to jump in for a second year.
Romeo Doubs: Watson was the second of three broad receivers to be selected by Green Bay in the April draft. Nevada’s fourth round player is a vertical, perimeter receiver that has collected more than 75 targets during all four college seasons. He may start as a point replayer, but his progress on the WR depth chart is worth watching.
Also on the list: Juwann Winfree, Malik Taylor, Rico Gafford, Samori Toure, Danny Davis III
How to approach
Lazard and Watson should be on your radar in the early double-digit circle. They are favorites that emerge as the team’s main perimeter targets, which are certainly high-scoring attacks as long as Rodgers is at the center. Otherwise, there isn’t much attraction here, but Watkins isn’t the worst aviator in the Premier League. Think of Cobb only in very deep PPR leagues. Rodgers and Doubs should be added to the dynasty and monitored throughout the off-season.
What is available: Hill achieved a career top 25% goal last season (9.4 goals per game). Including departures Demarcus Robinson (6%), Byron Pringle (9%) and Marcus Kemp (1%), 41% of the team’s overall goals are available. Indeed, with only two returning wide receivers (Mecole Hardman and Josh Gordon), 73% of the team’s targets are in this position.
JuJu Smith-Schuster: The chiefs signed a low-risk one-year contract with Smith-Schuster after a five-year rise and fall with Pittsburgh. In 2018, the slotsman reached 1,426 yards and eighth at the age of 21, but in recent seasons he has struggled with injuries and a career breaker, Ben Roethlisberger. Smith-Schuster is still 25 years old and QB is updating Patrick Mahomes’ figures to allow for more vertical targets. Smith-Schuster is the most likely player to take the lead in the attack with high scores and heavy passes in Kansas City. It has a solid floor and an elite ceiling.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: The aforementioned MVS has never finished the season better than 50th place in terms of catches, yards or fantasy points. And yet Kansas City thought of the former Packers receiver enough to give it a $ 15 million guaranteed in the interim. This suggests that Valdes-Scantling is a big part of these plans. The perimeter vertical receiver has the highest aDOT since it was drafted in the fifth round in 2018, but is the last to die. His role and performance so far suggest that we should continue to wait for a boom / boom.
Skyy Moore: Kansas City elected Moore in the second round in April. The product of Western Michigan achieved a huge 32% target share in 30 college games. He has very good (and big) hands that helped him achieve outstanding efficiency and is able to line up all over the field (the key to Andy Reid’s attack). Rookies are always question marks, but when Moore turns out to be a real bargain and gets off to a good start, he has a fantastic start.
Mecole Hardman: Hardman is the first Chiefs receiver on our list. The selection for the second round of 2019 has been effective when he has been called in for three seasons (his 8.6 RAC has only been from Deebo Samuel since 2019), but he has simply not been entrusted with much volume (3.8 goals per game in his career). Therefore, he has not yet submitted the 45 best fantasy campaigns. Of course, a quick game manager will replace many of Hill’s work, so a breakthrough in the fourth year is very possible.
Justyn Ross: Ross is a rare undrawn player with a significant plus. Clemson’s product made 1865 yards and 17 touchdowns in his first two college seasons before his career derailed due to neck / spine surgery. The teams are obviously still worried about his health, but Ross was allowed to play in 2021 and the combination of his size (6-4) and production suggests he has a high ceiling. It’s a big wild card worth watching this season.
Josh Gordon: Yes, Gordon is still in the league. Gordon, now 31, has played in a total of 45 games since 2014. It also covers the 2021 season, when he scored 13 goals in 12 games with the Chiefs. The fact that he barely made it to the square last season suggests he will be far away in the future. Despite his great name and past achievements, he is not worth the time associated with your fantasy.
Also on the list: Justin Watson, Daurice Fountain, Cornell Powell, Corey Coleman, Omar Bayless, Mathew Sexton, Gary Jennings
How to approach
In Smith-Schuster’s early ADP, he is in the middle rounds, which makes him the most expensive of the Packers or Chiefs receivers. However, given his CV and outstanding status, it’s not a bad price. Moore should be on your radar a few rounds later, MVS and Hardman are worth the late round of pilots. Ross should only be on the lists in the dynasty.
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